Developments in Demography in the 21st Century

Developments in Demography in the 21st Century

von: Joachim Singelmann, Dudley L. Poston Jr

Springer-Verlag, 2020

ISBN: 9783030264925

Sprache: Englisch

330 Seiten, Download: 6241 KB

 
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Developments in Demography in the 21st Century



  Contents 7  
  Contributors 9  
  Part I: Introduction 11  
     Chapter 1: Developments in Demography 12  
        1.1 Introduction 12  
        1.2 Developments in Demography: Chapter Summaries 14  
     Chapter 2: What’s Changing the World? A Demographer’s Perspective 19  
        2.1 Introduction 19  
        2.2 The Rising Burden of Noncommunicable Diseases 20  
        2.3 The Four Risk Factors that Account for Most NCDS 23  
        2.4 Conclusion 27  
        References 28  
  Part II: Methodological and Statistical Issues 30  
     Chapter 3: A Demographic Evaluation of the Stability of American Community Survey (ACS) Estimates for ACS Test Sites: 2000 to 2011 31  
        3.1 Introduction 31  
        3.2 Data and Methods 32  
        3.3 Characteristics for Evaluation 33  
        3.4 Geographic Areas 33  
        3.5 Time Series of Census and ACS Estimates 34  
        3.6 Results 35  
           3.6.1 Bronx County, New York: Annual ACS Estimates 36  
           3.6.2 Multnomah County, Oregon: 3-Year ACS Estimates 36  
           3.6.3 Upson County, Georgia: 5-Year ACS Estimates 38  
           3.6.4 Asian Population: Comparison of 5-Year ACS Estimates across Counties 39  
           3.6.5 Signal from the Noise 41  
        3.7 Conclusion 43  
        References 45  
     Chapter 4: Approaches for Addressing Missing Data in Statistical Analyses of Female and Male Adolescent Fertility 46  
        4.1 Introduction 46  
        4.2 Mechanisms: Why Are Data Missing 47  
        4.3 Methods for Handling Missing Data 48  
           4.3.1 Listwise Deletion 48  
           4.3.2 Mean Substitution 49  
           4.3.3 Mean Substitution for Subgroups 49  
           4.3.4 Proxy Method 49  
           4.3.5 Dropping the Variable(s) with Missing Data 50  
           4.3.6 Multiple Imputation (MI) – Three Versions 51  
        4.4 Data and Method 52  
        4.5 Results 53  
        4.6 Discussion 62  
        References 65  
     Chapter 5: Considering Local Measures of Poverty Using Shift-Share Techniques: A Comparative Analysis 66  
        5.1 Introduction 66  
        5.2 Shift-Share Analysis: Background 67  
        5.3 Local Poverty Measures and Shift-Share Analysis 68  
        5.4 Estimation Methodology & Data 69  
           5.4.1 One-Way Fixed Effects Model 69  
           5.4.2 Data 70  
        5.5 Findings 73  
        5.6 Conclusion 74  
        References 75  
  Part III: Data Issues 76  
     Chapter 6: Exploring Explanations for the High Net Undercount of Young Children in the 2010 U.S. Census 77  
        6.1 Introduction 77  
        6.2 The Undercount of Young Children 78  
        6.3 Explanations for the High Net Undercount Rate of Young Children 81  
        6.4 Summary 93  
        References 94  
     Chapter 7: Babies No Longer: Projecting the 100+ Population 98  
        7.1 Introduction and Background 98  
        7.2 Review of Past and Current Projections 100  
        7.3 Alternate Research Projections 102  
           7.3.1 Alternate Base Populations 102  
           7.3.2 Alternate Survivorship Projections 104  
        7.4 Summary and Conclusion 105  
        References 106  
     Chapter 8: Cohort Approaches Using Educational Data of the Czech Republic: Massification of Tertiary Education and Its Impact on Education Attainment 107  
        8.1 Introduction 107  
        8.2 Research Questions and Goals 108  
        8.3 Theoretical Background 109  
           8.3.1 The Second Demographic Transition 109  
           8.3.2 Trow’s Conceptions of Elite, Mass and Universal Higher Education 112  
           8.3.3 The Educational Attainment of the Population 114  
        8.4 Development of the Czech Tertiary Educational System 114  
           8.4.1 Indicators of Development of the Czech Tertiary System 116  
           8.4.2 Cohort Entry Rate 116  
           8.4.3 Net Entry Rate 117  
        8.5 Educational Attainment Forecast 120  
        8.6 Conclusion 125  
        References 126  
  Part IV: Issues of Health, Aging, and Mortality 128  
     Chapter 9: Factors Associated with Female Sterilization in Brazil 129  
        9.1 Introduction 129  
        9.2 Literature Review 131  
        9.3 Data and Methods 132  
        9.4 Results 137  
        9.5 Discussion 146  
        References 147  
     Chapter 10: Aging and Family Support in the State of Mexico 151  
        10.1 Introduction 151  
        10.2 Background 155  
        10.3 Data and Results 157  
        10.4 Discussion 159  
        References 161  
     Chapter 11: Intimate Homicide Mortality in Alaska 162  
        11.1 Introduction 162  
        11.2 Data and Methods 163  
        11.3 Demographic Features of the Subjects 164  
        11.4 Three Theories of Intimate Homicide 165  
        11.5 Results: Analyses of Twelve Cases in Alaska 167  
        11.6 Discussion and Conclusion 174  
        References 176  
     Chapter 12: Cognitive Decline Among the Elderly: A Comparative Analysis of Mexicans in Mexico and in the United States 177  
        12.1 Introduction 177  
        12.2 Previous Research 178  
        12.3 Data, Variables, and Methods 180  
           12.3.1 Data 180  
           12.3.2 Variables 182  
              12.3.2.1 Dependent Variable 182  
              12.3.2.2 Independent Variables 182  
              12.3.2.3 Statistical Analyses 183  
        12.4 Results 183  
           12.4.1 Total HEPESE and MHAS Surveys 183  
        12.5 Conclusions and Discussion 190  
        References 190  
  Part V: Issues in Social Demography 193  
     Chapter 13: The Urban Hierarchies of China and the United States 194  
        13.1 Introduction 194  
        13.2 Metropolitan and Urban Dominance 196  
        13.3 Data and Methods 198  
        13.4 Analysis and Findings 203  
        13.5 Conclusion 215  
        References 216  
     Chapter 14: School District Formation as an Explanation for Spatial and Temporal Dimensions of Concentrated Poverty in Bexar County, Texas 218  
        14.1 Introduction 218  
        14.2 Neighborhood Poverty in Bexar County 219  
           14.2.1 Historic Context 219  
           14.2.2 Neighborhood and School Segregation as Reinforcing Mechanisms for Bexar County Poverty 220  
        14.3 Explanations of Neighborhood Poverty: Review of Literature 221  
        14.4 Data and Methods 223  
           14.4.1 Independent Variables of Interest 224  
           14.4.2 Analytic Strategy 226  
        14.5 Results 227  
        14.6 Discussion 233  
        14.7 Policy Implications & Conclusions 234  
        References 237  
     Chapter 15: Union Formation Selectivity After Childbearing: Do Local Marriage Markets Matter? 240  
        15.1 Introduction 240  
        15.2 Marriage Selectivity 242  
        15.3 Marital Search 244  
        15.4 Research Aims and Expectations 244  
        15.5 Data and Methods 245  
           15.5.1 Sample Selection and Characteristics 245  
           15.5.2 Dependent Variable 248  
           15.5.3 Marriage Market Conditions 249  
           15.5.4 Social Learning Characteristics 249  
           15.5.5 Control Variables 250  
           15.5.6 Partner/Wife Characteristics 251  
        15.6 Analysis 251  
        15.7 Results 251  
        15.8 Discussion and Conclusion 259  
        Appendix 261  
        References 263  
     Chapter 16: Minority Student Participation in International Programs 265  
        16.1 Introduction 265  
        16.2 Review of Literature 266  
        16.3 International Education at Historically Black Colleges and Universities (HBCUs) 268  
        16.4 Methodology 269  
           16.4.1 Population and Sample 269  
           16.4.2 Survey Design 270  
        16.5 Analysis 270  
           16.5.1 Sociodemographic Characteristics of the Study Respondents 271  
           16.5.2 General Attitudes and Abilities 273  
           16.5.3 Foreign Language Proficiency and Ability 276  
           16.5.4 Formal International Education and Travel Experiences 277  
           16.5.5 Perceived Benefits After Traveling Outside the U.S. for Academic Purposes 277  
        16.6 Conclusion 277  
        References 280  
     Chapter 17: Community Well-being and Mexican Interstate Migration in the United States 284  
        17.1 Introduction 284  
        17.2 Measurement of Mexican Interstate Migration 285  
        17.3 A Gravity Model and an Ecological Model of Migration 289  
        17.4 Data and Methods 291  
        17.5 Results 294  
        17.6 Discussion 297  
        References 299  
     Chapter 18: Family Values and Work in the Mississippi Delta: Effects of Marriage and Employment on the Well-being of TANF Participants 301  
        18.1 Introduction 301  
        18.2 Review of Literature 302  
           18.2.1 Marriage 302  
           18.2.2 Work 303  
           18.2.3 Marriage, Employment, & Economic Wellbeing 305  
        18.3 Data and Methods 306  
           18.3.1 Data 306  
           18.3.2 Estimation Methods 309  
           18.3.3 Dependent Variables 309  
           18.3.4 Independent Variables 310  
              18.3.4.1 Employment and Marital Transitions 310  
              18.3.4.2 Characteristics of the Spouse 311  
              18.3.4.3 Characteristics of Work 311  
              18.3.4.4 Location 311  
              18.3.4.5 Controls 311  
        18.4 Results 312  
           18.4.1 Logistic Regression Models 313  
           18.4.2 Simulations 317  
        18.5 Summary and Conclusion 321  
        References 322  
  Index 325  

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